Academy Awards 2012: My Predictions

Here’s my attempt at 2012 Oscar predictions. I haven’t decided on any of the short film categories because I honestly have no idea what’s out there; my focus is on feature films. The nominations for the 84th Academy Awards will be announced on Tuesday, January 24 at 8:30 am ET/5:30 am PT, which you can watch streaming here.

In a perfect world, Martha Marcy May Marlene and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy would get recognition for their fine actors… but that’s Hollywood for you. Mark my words: one day John Hawkes will be swarmed with awards for all the decades of awesome work he’s done.

  1. Best Picture (up to 10 nominees will be chosen): The Artist; The Descendants; Drive; The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo; The Help; Hugo; Midnight in Paris; Moneyball; The Tree of Life; War Horse
  2. Best Actor: George Clooney (The Descendants), Jean Dujardin (The Artist), Michael Fassbender (Shame), Brad Pitt (Moneyball), Michael Shannon (Take Shelter) – I’ll probably be eating my words when Leonardo DiCaprio is nominated anyway for J. Edgar, but we’ll see. Also, if there were real justice, Gary Oldman would be getting a nomination for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy.
  3. Best Actress: Viola Davis (The Help), Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady), Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin), Charlize Theron (Young Adult), Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn) – For a long time I was stuck between Charlize Theron and Glenn Close (for Albert Nobbs). Ultimately, though, I think the Academy will go with Theron. Or at least I think they should.
  4. Best Supporting Actor: Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn), Albert Brooks (Drive), Jonah Hill (Moneyball), Nick Nolte (Warrior), Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
  5. Best Supporting Actress: Bérénice Bejo (The Artist), Jessica Chastain (The Help), Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids), Octavia Spencer (The Help), Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
  6. Best Director: Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris), Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist), Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life), Alexander Payne (The Descendants), Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
  7. Best Original Screenplay: The Artist; Bridesmaids; 50/50; Midnight in Paris; Win Win
  8. Best Adapted Screenplay: The Descendants; The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo; The Help; Hugo; Moneyball
  9. Best Cinematography: The Artist; The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo; Hugo; The Tree of Life; War Horse
  10. Best Art Direction: The Artist; Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2; Hugo; Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy; The Tree of Life
  11. Best Costume Design: The Artist; The Help; Hugo; Jane Eyre; My Week with Marilyn
  12. Best Sound Mixing: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2; Hugo; Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides; Super 8; War Horse
  13. Best Film Editing: The Artist; Drive; The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo; Hugo; War Horse
  14. Best Sound Editing: Drive; Rise of the Planet of the Apes; Super 8; Transformers: Dark of the Moon; War Horse
  15. Best Visual Effects: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2; Hugo; Rise of the Planet of the Apes; Transformers: Dark of the Moon; The Tree of Life
  16. Best Makeup: Albert Nobbs; Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2; The Iron Lady
  17. Best Original Song: “Lay Your Head Down” (Albert Nobbs), “Hello Hello” (Gnomeo & Juliet), “The Living Proof” (The Help), “Life’s a Happy Song” (The Muppets), “Man or Muppet” (The Muppets)
  18. Best Original Score: The Artist; The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo; Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2; Hugo; War Horse
  19. Best Short Film (Animated):
  20. Best Short Film (Live Action):
  21. Best Documentary Short:
  22. Best Documentary Feature: Bill Cunningham New York; Buck; Hell and Back Again; Pina; Project Nim
  23. Best Foreign Language Film: Footnote; In Darkness; Monsieur Lazhar; Pina; A Separation
  24. Best Animated Feature Film: The Adventures of Tintin; Arthur Christmas; Kung Fu Panda 2; Puss in Boots; Rango
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