My Oscar Predictions

Difficult as it is to correctly predict Oscar nominees, I’ve tried and come up with some kind of list. Anything next to a bullet point is a possibility for a nomination, but I’m hoping that I’m right about the actual listed predictions. Some races, however, are particularly tight, like Best Actor. Other categories – like the other three acting categories – seem to have a few variables. Anyway, let me know if you agree with my choices! (Or if you think some of the possibilities are more likely than what I picked for the predictions.)

Best Picture (up to 10 nominees): Argo; Beasts of the Southern Wild; Django Unchained; Les Misérables; Life of Pi; Lincoln; The Master; Moonrise Kingdom; Silver Linings Playbook; Zero Dark Thirty

  • Amour; Skyfall

Best Director: Ben Affleck (Argo), Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty), Ang Lee (Life of Pi), Steven Spielberg (Lincoln), Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained)

  • Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master), Tom Hooper (Les Misérables), David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)

Best Actor: Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook), Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln), John Hawkes (The Sessions), Joaquin Phoenix (The Master), Denzel Washington (Flight)

  • Hugh Jackman (Les Misérables) [possibly in place of Washington], Denis Lavant (Holy Motors) [far less likely]

Best Actress: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty), Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone), Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook), Emmanuelle Riva (Amour), Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

  • Helen Mirren (Hitchcock), Naomi Watts (The Impossible), Rachel Weisz (The Deep Blue Sea) [any of these three women could be exchanged with Cotillard/Riva/Wallis, though Mirren and Watts might have better chances than Weisz]

Best Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin (Argo), Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook), Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master), Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln), Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)

  • Javier Bardem (Skyfall), Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained[Bardem and/or DiCaprio probably have the best chances of taking De Niro and/or Waltz’s spots], Dwight Henry (Beasts of the Southern Wild), Matthew McConaughey (Magic Mike)

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams (The Master), Ann Dowd (Compliance) [the weakest chances of the five… but I just have to support her because she’s such a great actress], Sally Field (Lincoln), Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables), Helen Hunt (The Sessions)

  • Judi Dench (Skyfall[probably has the best chances of taking Dowd’s spot], Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy), Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

Best Adapted Screenplay: Argo; Life of Pi; Lincoln; The Perks of Being a Wallflower; Silver Linings Playbook

  • Beasts of the Southern Wild [in place of Perks]

Best Original Screenplay: Django Unchained; Looper; Moonrise Kingdom; The Master; Zero Dark Thirty

  • Amour; Flight [might have a chance in place of Looper]

Best Cinematography: Les Misérables; Life of Pi; Lincoln; The Master; Skyfall

  • Anna Karenina [might have a chance… either in place of Les Miz or The Master]; Beasts of the Southern Wild; The Dark Knight Rises; Django Unchained; Moonrise Kingdom; Zero Dark Thirty [also has a shot]

Best Editing: Argo; Les Misérables; Life of Pi; Skyfall; Zero Dark Thirty

  • Cloud Atlas; Lincoln [maybe in place of Les Miz]

Best Art Direction: Anna Karenina; Les Misérables; Lincoln; The Master; Moonrise Kingdom

  • Cloud Atlas; The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey; Life of Pi; Skyfall

Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina; The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey; Les Misérables; Lincoln; Snow White and the Huntsman

  • Cloud Atlas; Farewell, My Queen; A Royal Affair [maybe in place of Snow White]

Best Sound (Editing/Mixing) Categories: I probably wouldn’t get these right

Best Visual Effects: The Avengers; The Dark Knight Rises; The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey; Life of Pi; Prometheus

  • Cloud Atlas [possibly in place of Prometheus]

Best Makeup & Hairstyling: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey; Les Misérables; Lincoln

  • Hitchcock [got a BAFTA nomination]; Looper; Men in Black 3; Snow White and the Huntsman

Best Original Song: “For You” (Act of Valor), “Learn Me Right” (Brave), “Skyfall” (Skyfall), “Suddenly” (Les Misérables), “When Can I See You Again?” (Wreck-It Ralph)

  • “Not Running Anymore” (Stand Up Guys), “Song of the Lonely Mountain” (The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey), “Still Alive” (Paul Williams: Still Alive), “Touch the Sky” (Brave)

Best Original Score: Anna Karenina; Argo; Life of Pi; Lincoln; The Master

  • Beasts of the Southern Wild; Cloud Atlas; Skyfall; Zero Dark Thirty

Best Documentary: Bully; The Gatekeepers; How to Survive a Plague; The Imposter; Searching for Sugar Man

  • Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry; Detropia; The Invisible War; Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God; This Is Not a Film

Best Foreign Film: Amour; The Intouchables; Kon-Tiki; A Royal Affair; War Witch

  • Beyond the Hills; The Chief; No; Sister [I wish Sister could get a nomination because it’s a great film, but I don’t know if it can happen]

Best Animated Film: Brave; Frankenweenie; ParaNorman; Rise of the Guardians; Wreck-It Ralph

  • Hotel Transylvania; Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted

Short Film Categories: No idea, so we’ll see what happens

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