Predictions: Golden Globes 2015

As I must do every January, here are my predictions for the Golden Globes’ film award nominations (the show airs tonight on NBC). Some of the categories seem to be sewn up, but others could end up surprising us awards prognosticators.

Best Motion Picture – DramaBoyhood

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy: Birdman

Actor – Drama: Eddie Redmayne (The The Theory of Everything) has received much praise, so although he has strong competition in the field, I think that ultimately he’ll win.

Actress – Drama: I’m not 100% convinced that Julianne Moore (Still Alice) will win simply because she’s Julianne Moore and she “deserves” the long-awaited gold; I think Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl) could get the award instead if Gone Girl being in theaters for many months and having amassed many accolades for Pike’s performance means anything. It’s not that Moore isn’t worthy of the Globe (her performance is supposed to be terrific), but I just find it weird that Still Alice isn’t even being released nationwide until this Friday. It’s strange to me that a contender for such an important award has only been seen by industry people… but we’ll see what happens tonight.

Actor – Musical or Comedy: Michael Keaton (Birdman)

Actress – Musical or Comedy: Amy Adams (Big Eyes) and Emily Blunt (Into the Woods) probably have the strongest chances, though Helen Mirren (The Hundred-Foot Journey) is a dark horse option.

Best Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)

Best Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)

Best Director: Richard Linklater (Boyhood)

Best Screenplay: Could go to Gillian Flynn (Gone Girl) as an adapted screenplay or Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris and Armando Bo (Birdman) as an original screenplay. Richard Linklater’s Boyhood screenplay is another possibility.

Best Original Song: “Glory” (Selma)

Best Original Score: Antonio Sanchez (Birdman) is considered a favorite here since the score was disqualified from its equivalent Oscar category, but Hans Zimmer (Interstellar) has a shot here too.

Best Animated Film: The Lego Movie

Best Foreign Language Film: Ida, most likely, but don’t count out Force Majeure.

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